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And the Winner is…. 2014 Emmy Predictions

It is finally upon us! The 2013-14 TV season is finally drawing to a close. But before we begin the much anticipated new 2014-15 TV season, we celebrate the year that was with the most prestigious awards for TV, the Emmys. Personally I have always preferred the Golden Globes because it is like the Oscars and Emmys rolled into one, but there is no doubt that when it comes to TV, the Emmys are the top honors. While I felt that this year fell short of the ridiculously high standards that the previous year set, it was still a very good year of TV. The timing for the Emmys are always weird. For example, let’s look at Orange is the New Black and Masters of Sex. Both shows received multiple nominations respectively. For their FIRST season. Even though OitNB put out it’s second season months ago and Masters of Sex is well into it’s second season. It’s all about when a show’s air date and finale is. And when that date is in the summer, keeping up which awards season it falls under can be tricky. Just a heads up. But anyway, we will get on to the predictions. There are actually WAY more categories than most people realize when you factor in all the technical awards. Stuff like writing, directing, and animated programs are included in those (Go South Park!!!). I will just be covering the main attractions though and the ones that we are most likely to see handed out on TV. In the past, I have included snubs for several categories, but this year I will just refer you to my top ten biggest snubs post. But as always, I will list the nominees and tell you who I think will win, and who should win. We will be live blogging the Emmys and you can watch along with us and see how I do. The Emmys will be on Monday, August 25th at 8 ET and will be hosted by Seth Meyers.  And the winner is….  

true-detective-logo__140605001242

OUTSTANDING DRAMA

Breaking Bad Downton Abbey Game of Thrones House of Cards Mad Men True Detective

Who will win: True Detective

Quite simply put, True Detective season one is one of the best TV seasons of all time. Everything about it, the acting, writing, story, cinematography, directing, it’s all damn near perfect. This is a massively stacked category and I could see any of the nominees outside of Mad Men winning. But I think True Detective pulls it out.

Who should win: True Detective 

I could easily say Game of Thrones here. And in actuality, I will be rooting for them. It has been the best show for four years in a row now and this was easily it’s best season. But asking me to choose between Game of Thrones and True Detective is like Sophie’s Choice for me. When it comes down to it, I think True Detective is the better show when it comes to what these awards are looking for. Just please God don’t let Breaking Bad win. I worry about this. It was an iconic show and this is the last year we will ever see it here. I’m afraid that might put it over the top. Don’t get me wrong, it was an amazing show. But it had it’s time. It doesn’t deserve the win here.

Chuck’s Pick: Breaking Bad
Trey’s Pick: True Detective
Josh’s Pick: True Detective

house-of-cards

OUTSTANDING ACTRESS IN A DRAMA

Lizzy Caplan, Masters of Sex Kerry Washington, Scandal Michelle Dockery, Downton Abbey Julianna Margulies, The Good Wife Claire Danes, Homeland Robin Wright, House of Cards

Who will win: Robin Wright, House of Cards

Look, I’ve only seen a little of House of Cards, but that’s really all you need to recognize how amazing this show is. The same could be said of Robin Wright’s performance. While she is very great, I don’t think she should win this. But I feel that the voters love House of Cards and this may be the only spot they can give them a win.

Who should win: Claire Danes, Homeland

There are a few reasons why she won’t win. She has already won multiple awards for this role. Including an Emmy. Also, last season of Homeland just wasn’t as good as the first two. Don’t get me wrong. A down year for Homeland is still better than 90% of other shows. But I do think that a diminished view on the show will hurt her chances. This is the first year that the show itself wasn’t nominated for best drama. But here is the rub: none of that should matter. Claire Danes continues to be the finest actress on TV today. Nobody plays crazy like Claire Danes.

Chuck’s Pick: Robin Wright, House of Cards
Trey’s Pick: Robin Wright, House of Cards
Josh’s Pick: Robin Wright, House of Cards
true-detective-logo__140605001242

OUTSTANDING ACTOR IN A DRAMA

Bryan Cranston, Breaking Bad Jeff Daniels, The Newsroom Jon Hamm, Mad Men Woody Harrelson, True Detective Matthew McConaughey, True Detective Kevin Spacey, House of Cards

Who will win: Matthew McConaughey, True Detective

This is without a doubt the most stacked category of the night, and possibly of all time. The amount of amazing actors that we have on TV today is staggering. But I called it in February and I have never wavered. 2014 is the year of McConaughey. I’m pretty sure that nobody has ever won the Oscar, Golden Globe, and Emmy for best lead actor for different roles before, but I think he is about to. His performance as Rust Cohle is probably my favorite TV performance of all time. Nobody deserves this over him. Even in this stacked category. I’m telling you now. If Bryan Cranston wins, I will break things. He has won multiple times and, again, Breaking Bad is an amazing show and so is Cranston’s performance. It doesn’t touch McConaughey’s performance. But the Cult of Cranston is real and in his final year as Walter White, I am left very afraid that he might steal this one.

Who should win: See Above

 

Chuck’s Pick: Bryan Cranston, Breaking Bad
Trey’s Pick: Matthew McConaughey, True Detective
Josh’s Pick: Matthew McConaughey, True Detective
breaking bad

OUTSTANDING SUPPORTING ACTRESS IN A DRAMA

Anna Gunn, Breaking Bad Maggie Smith, Downton Abbey Joanne Froggatt, Downton Abbey Lena Headey, Game of Thrones Christine Baranski, The Good Wife Christina Hendricks, Mad Men

Who will win: Anna Gunn, Breaking Bad

This is one category that I can’t take away from Breaking Bad. Anna Gunn’s performance was terrific in this show and she only got better as time went on. In the last year for her, I think she takes home the prize.

Who should win: Maggie Smith, Downton Abbey

Of all the nominated shows in this category, Game of Thrones is the only one I watch regularly. But I did see a few episodes of each show and truthfully that’s all I needed. Maggie Smith is brilliant on Downton Abbey and easily the best performance of the bunch.

Chuck’s Pick: Anna Gunn, Breaking Bad
Trey’s Pick: Lena Headey, Game of Thrones
Josh’s Pick: Maggie Smith, Downton Abbey
breaking bad

OUTSTANDING SUPPORTING ACTOR IN A DRAMA

Aaron Paul, Breaking Bad Jim Carter, Downton Abbey Peter Dinklage, Game of Thrones Josh Charles, The Good Wife Mandy Patinkin, Homeland Jon Voight, Ray Donovan

Who will win: Aaron Paul, Breaking Bad

He has won it before for this role and in his final year, I think he wins again. He wouldn’t be my choice, but the fact that he is deserving of it is undeniable.

Who should win: Peter Dinklage, Game of Thrones

Dinklage has also won before for this same role, but his performance for this season was even better than the one he won it for. In a show filled to the brim with amazing actors, Dinklage always stands out as the best. I feel he will be hurt by a slightly diminished role this year, just do to the nature of Game of Thrones. But his performance in the season finale this year was the definition of an Emmy winning performance. Jon Voight is the dark horse here after a surprising Golden Globe win for his amazing job for Ray Donovan and can’t be counted out. Mandy Patinkin may be the closest to who should win with Dinklage, but like with Claire Danes, a down season for Homeland severely hurt his chances. Dinklage still holds out as the cream of the crop.

Chuck’s Pick: Aaron Paul, Breaking Bad
Trey’s Pick: Aaron Paul, Breaking Bad
Josh’s Pick: Aaron Paul, Breaking Bad
the-newsroom

OUTSTANDING GUEST ACTRESS IN A DRAMA

Margo Martindale, The Americans Diana Rigg, Game of Thrones Kate Mara, House of Cards Allison Janney, Masters of Sex Jane Fonda, The Newsroom Kate Burton, Scandal

Who will win: Jane Fonda, The Newsroom

Do I really like Jane Fonda as a person? No. Does that affect her performance in The Newsroom? Absolutely not. She is terrific on The Newsroom. I personally would rank her about fourth on the list of nominees, but hey, she is Jane Fonda. And that counts for something.

Who should win: Diana Rigg, Game of Thrones

If anyone on Game of Thrones can go toe to toe with Peter Dinklage in acting, it is Diana Rigg. Her performance as Ollena Tyrell is absolutely amazing and whenever she had scenes with Dinklage, it was pure TV nirvana. Margo Martindale is amazing on The Americans and I hate that the contract issue with FX happened and we lost her to the abomination that is “We’re the Millers”, otherwise I think we would have seen her as a favorite in the Supporting Actress category.

Chuck’s Pick: Diana Rigg, Game of Thrones
Trey’s Pick: Diana Rigg, Game of Thrones
Josh’s Pick: Jane Fonda, The Newsroom
Downton Abbey

OUTSTANDING GUEST ACTOR IN A DRAMA

Paul Giamatti, Downton Abbey Dylan Baker, The Good Wife Reg E Cathey, House of Cards Robert Morse, Mad Men Beau Bridges, Masters of Sex Joe Morton, Scandal

Who will win: Paul Giamatti, Downton Abbey

It’s Paul Giamatti in a period piece. It doesn’t get much better than that.

Who should win: See Above

 

Chuck’s Pick: Paul Giamatti, Downton Abbey
Trey’s Pick: Paul Giamatti, Downton Abbey
Josh’s Pick: Paul Giamatti, Downton Abbey
Orange is the new black

OUTSTANDING COMEDY

The Big Bang Theory Louie Modern Family Orange Is the New BlackSilicon Valley Veep

Who will win: Orange is the New Black

Again, I would like to remind everyone that this is for the FIRST season of this show. That matters because in my opinion, the first season is noticeably better than the second. OitNB has become one of the awards season darlings and has a ton of buzz coming in. It would be a huge step forward for a show from a streaming only service to win this award. And it’s going to happen. I still have trouble classifying it as a comedy. It is arguably the best show on this list, but it’s not the best comedy. But the networks get to choose so I guess it was good thinking. Not sure it would be getting the same buzz if they had entered it as a drama.

Who should win: Louie

A lot of good competition this year. I wouldn’t be upset if any of these shows won. Modern Family and Big Bang Theory are the old guard but still as funny as ever. Veep is a former winner and still a strong contender. Silicon Valley was sneakily one of the best new shows of the year. But there is nobody on the planet that is funnier than Louis CK right now and that has been true for a decade. Louie has been a tremendous show since it started and it has only gotten better. It’s about time he got recognized for it.

Chuck’s Pick: Louie
Trey’s Pick: Louie
Josh’s Pick: Veep
Orange is the new black

OUTSTANDING ACTRESS IN A COMEDY

Lena Dunham, Girls Edie Falco, Nurse Jackie Julia Louis-Dreyfus, Veep Melissa McCarthy, Mike & Molly Amy Poehler, Parks and Recreation Taylor Schilling, Orange Is the New Black

Who will win: Taylor Schilling, Orange is the New Black

I personally wouldn’t pick her, but I can’t deny that she is great in the role of Piper. I just feel that anyone that is overshadowed by several other minor characters on their own show probably shouldn’t win. But again, I just feel that the momentum of OitNB will carry her to victory here.

Who should win: Julia Louis-Dreyfus, Veep

Another strong category that is really up for grabs. I really wouldn’t midn seeing Amy Poehler win here, but if I’m picking who is the best it has to be Julia Louis-Dreyfus is Veep. She has won before, she should be winning again.

Chuck’s Pick: Amy Poehler, Parks and Rec
Trey’s Pick: Amy Peohler, Parks and Rec
Josh’s Pick: Taylor Schilling, Orange is the New Black
Louie

OUTSTANDING ACTOR IN A COMEDY

Louis CK, Louie Don Cheadle, House of Lies Ricky Gervais, Derek Matt LeBlanc, Episodes William H Macy, Shameless Jim Parsons, The Big Bang Theory

Who will win: Louis CK, Louie

As I said above, Louis CK is the funniest man on the planet right now. And it turns out, he is a pretty good actor too. It makes me immensely happy that he is starting to get recognition for Louie and I think this is going to be his year. Strong competition won’t make it easy. You can never count out Jim Parsons in this category and I love Don Cheadle in House of Lies, but none are better than Louis CK and I think he will hold them off.

Who should win: See above

 

Chuck’s Pick: Louis C.K., Louie
Trey’s Pick: Louis C.K., Louie
Josh’s Pick: Jim Parsons, The Big Bang Theory
MOM-CBS

OUTSTANDING SUPPORTING ACTRESS IN A COMEDY

Mayim Bialik, The Big Bang Theory Julie Bowen, Modern Family Allison Janney, Mom Kate Mulgrew, Orange Is the New Black Kate McKinnon, Saturday Night Live Anna Chlumsky, Veep

Who will win: Allison Janney, Mom

I guess Allison Janney does a fine job in her role on Mom, but I literally cannot stand to watch that show. It’s painful. I would choose any other of the nominees. But Allison Janney has long been loved by the critics in this role and I think that she pulls out the victory here.

Who should win: Anna Chlumsky, Veep

I adore Anna Chlumsky in this role. She plays the the girl that evens out the show for us when she is surrounded by characters that are pretty awful people. And she does it brilliantly and very sneakily funny. I also love Kate Mulgrew as Red in Orange is the New Black, but her screen time is so limited that I worry that she doesn’t quite have the resume to beat out the other nominees.

Chuck’s Pick: Kate Mulgrew, Orange is the New Black
Trey’s Pick: Kate Mulgrew, Orange is the New Black
Josh’s Pick: Kate Mulgrew, Orange is the New Black

tv-brooklyn-nine-nine06

OUTSTANDING SUPPORTING ACTOR IN A COMEDY

Andre Braugher, Brooklyn Nine-Nine Adam Driver, Girls Jesse Tyler Ferguson, Modern Family Ty Burrell, Modern Family Fred Armisen, Portlandia Tony Hale, Veep

Who will win: Andre Braugher, Brooklyn Nine-Nine

When I first saw the preview for this show, I never thought I would be writing about it for anyone winning an Emmy. But Brooklyn Nine-Nine was a surprisingly hilarious show that made the cut against all odds. Andre Braugher is terrific in his role and was certainly deserving of his nomination. I personally would rank him about fourth on this list, but I think the buzz over the show will carry him to victory here, probably narrowly beating out Tony Hale who will win if Braugher doesn’t.

Who Should win: Ty Burrell, Modern Family

I get that the shine has worn off of Modern Family. It’s not the new show that everyone is watching anymore. But it’s ratings are still consistently among the best on TV and they should be. It’s still a damn funny show, and Ty Burrell is unquestionably the best part of it. The Phil character is still probably my favorite character on TV right now. Ty Burrell deserves the win here.

Chuck’s Pick: Tony Hale, Veep
Trey’s Pick: Adam Driver, Girls
Josh’s Pick: Andre Braugher, Brooklyn Nine-Nine
Orange is the new black

OUTSTANDING GUEST ACTRESS IN A COMEDY

Natasha Lyonne, Orange Is the New Black Uzo Aduba, Orange Is the New Black Laverne Cox, Orange Is the New Black Tina Fey, Saturday Night Live Melissa McCarthy, Saturday Night Live Joan Cusack, Shameless

Who will win: Laverne Cox, Orange is the New Black

If you think that anyone else is going to win this award other than Laverne Cox, you are sadly mistaken. She is fantastic on the show and is certainly deserving of the award. But when you add in the fact that she is transgendered and how highly publicized her rise to fame has been, I think she is a lock. Good for her!

Who should win: Natasha Lyonne, Orange is the New Black

The only person that I would put above Cox is Natasha Lyonne. Simply for the fact that the Nikki character is just a bigger part of the show and Lyonne has been able to show off much better range than Cox. I will be fine with either winning here. Still not sure how any of the regular actresses on Orange is the New Black are categorized as guest actresses, but I guess that’s not up for me to debate.

Chuck’s Pick: Uzo Aduba, Orange is the New Black
Trey’s Pick: Laverne Cox, Orange is the New Black
Josh’s Pick: Laverne Cox, Orange is the New Black
portlandia-18 OUTSTANDING GUEST ACTOR IN A COMEDY   Bob Newhart, The Big Bang Theory Nathan Lane, Modern Family Steve Buscemi, Portlandia Jimmy Fallon, Saturday Night Live Louis C.K., Saturday Night Live Gary Cole, Veep

Who will win: Steve Buscemi, Portlandia

Portlandia is great. Steve Buscemi is amazing. Steve Buscemi on Portlandia? Winner. You can never count out Bob Newhart, who is deserving of pretty much any award ever, but Buscemi is great and I think he wins here to make up for the fact that Boardwalk Empire was basically shut out in the nominations this year.

Who should win: See above

 

Chuck’s Pick: Bob Newhart, The Big Bang Theory
Trey’s Pick: Steve Buscemi, Portlandia
Josh’s Pick: Steve Buscemi, Portlandia
dancing-with-the-stars

OUTSTANDING REALITY SHOWHOST

Betty White, Betty White’s Off Their Rockers Tom Bergeron, Dancing With the Stars Jane Lynch, Hollywood Game Night Heidi Klum/Tim Gunn, Project Runway Cat Deeley, So You Think You Can Dance Anthony Bourdain, The Taste

Who will win: Tom Bergeron, Dancing With the Stars

Do I really know how they judge this? No. Not really. So a shot in the dark here, I will say Tom Bergeron. He is a great TV personality and Dancing With the Stars is still huge. Pretty much, I will take anyone here except Jane Lynch.

Who should win: Betty White, Betty White’s Off Their Rockers

Why? Because Betty White. She is the best.

Chuck’s Pick: Tom Bergeron, Dancing With the Stars
Trey’s Pick: Heidi Klum/ Tim Gunn, Project Runway
Josh’s Pick: Jane Lynch, Hollywood Game Night
top-chef-2013

OUTSTANDING REALITY SHOW COMPETITION

The Amazing Race Dancing With the Stars Project Runway So You Think You Can Dance Top Chef The Voice

Who will win: Top Chef

I feel confident about this one….

Who should win: The Amazing Race

I don’t really watch it anymore but I still love this show.

Chuck’s Pick: So You Think You Can Dance
Trey’s Pick: Top Chef
Josh’s Pick: Top Chef
the tonight show with jimmy fallon

OUTSTANDING VARIETY, MUSIC, OR COMEDY SERIES

The Colbert Report The Daily Show with Jon Stewart Jimmy Kimmel Live Real Time with Bill Maher Saturday Night Live The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon

Who will win: The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon

Normally, The Colbert Report is a lock to win this category. And with this being his final year before he takes over The Late Show, he is still a threat to win. But Jimmy Fallon has been a breath of fresh air in what had become a very stale late night scene after the debacle with Conan. The Tonight Show is fresh and new and it has never been funnier. I think it takes home the award.

Who should win: See above

 

Chuck’s Pick: The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon
Trey’s Pick: The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon
Josh’s Pick: The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon
fargo

OUTSTANDING TV MINISERIES

American Horror Story: Coven Bonnie & Clyde Fargo Luther Treme The White Queen

Who will win: Fargo

If Fargo had decided to enter the best drama category, I have a feeling Mad Men would have been bumped. The hype around Fargo was and is huge and it is very deserved. It was great. I still don’t know exactly how some of these shows qualify as miniseries, seeing how they are on every year. I guess because the cast and the story changes. But then again, so does True Detective. Either way, miniseries is what they are and of them all, Fargo is the best. Just please no Treme. Words can’t describe how much I don’t like that show.

Who should win: See above

 

Chuck’s Pick: Fargo
Trey’s Pick: Fargo
Josh’s Pick: Fargo
the normal heart

OUTSTANDING TV MOVIE

Killing Kennedy Muhammad Ali’s Greatest Fight The Normal Heart Sherlock: His Last Vow The Trip to Bountiful

Who will win: The Normal Heart

The Normal Heart is winning this and it’s not going to be close. It’s a story about the rise of the AIDS crisis in New York in the early 80’s and it’s excellent. The real competition will be between it and Fargo in the acting categories.

Who should win: See above

 

Chuck’s Pick: The Normal Heart
Trey’s Pick: The Normal Heart
Josh’s Pick: The Normal Heart
AHS Coven

LEAD ACTRESS IN A TV MINISERIES OR MOVIE

Helena Bonham Carter, Burton and Taylor Jessica Lange, American Horror Story: Coven Minnie Driver, Return to Zero Sarah Paulson, American Horror Story: Coven Cicely Tyson, The Trip to Bountiful Kristen Wiig, The Spoils of Babylon

Who will win: Sarah Paulson, American Horror Story: Coven

Look, I gave up on American Horror Story a long time ago, but there has easily been the most buzz for Sarah Paulson. I give her the win, with Cicely Tyson making it close.

Who should win: Kristen Wiig, The Spoils of Babylon

Bottom line, I really like Kristen Wiig and I hate American Horror Story. That’s it.

Chuck’s Pick: Jessica Lange, American Horror Story: Coven
Trey’s Pick: Sarah Paulson, American Horror Story: Coven
Josh’s Pick: Sarah Paulson, American Horror Story: Coven
fargo

LEAD ACTOR IN A TV MINISERIES OR MOVIE

Benedict Cumberbatch, Sherlock: His Last Vow Idris Elba, Luther Chiwetel Ejiofor, Dancing On the Edge Martin Freeman, Fargo Billy Bob Thornton, Fargo Mark Ruffalo, The Normal Heart

Who will win: Billy Bob Thornton, Fargo

Who would have ever guessed that this would be one of the most stacked categories this year? Top to bottom, that is a damn fine list of damn fine actors. The race really comes down to just Thornton and Ruffalo though. It really is a toss up. I have a feeling they might go with Ruffalo but I believe that Thornton’s performance was so good that he can’t not win. I will stick with him.

Who should win: See above

 

Chuck’s Pick: Billy Bob Thornton: Fargo
Trey’s Pick: Billy Bob Thornton: Fargo
Josh’s Pick: Mark Ruffalo, The Normal Heart
the normal heart

OUTSTANDING SUPPORTING ACTRESS IN A TV MINISERIES OR MOVIE

Frances Conroy, American Horror Story: Coven Kathy Bates, American Horror Story: Coven Angela Bassett, American Horror Story: Coven Allison Tolman, Fargo Ellen Burstyn, Flowers in the Attic Julia Roberts, The Normal Heart

Who will win: Julia Roberts, The Normal Heart

Once again, it will be a battle between Fargo and The Normal Heart. And while I think Thornton edges Ruffalo, I think Roberts edges Allison Tolman here to even the score.

Who should win: Allison Tolman, Fargo

As I said, this one is so close that you can’t really go wrong. But in the end, I just felt like Tolman gave the best overall performance.

Chuck’s Pick: Allison Tolman, Fargo
Trey’s Pick: Allison Tolman, Fargo
Josh’s Pick: Allison Tolman, Fargo
the normal heart

OUTSTANDING SUPPORTING ACTOR IN A TV MINISERIES OR MOVIE

Colin Hanks, Fargo Jim Parsons, The Normal Heart Joe Mantello, The Normal Heart Alfred Molina, The Normal Heart Matt Bomer, The Normal Heart Martin Freeman, Sherlock: His Last Vow

Who will win: Matt Bomer, The Normal Heart

I think The Normal Heart easily had the best odds here with four out of six nominations! But in the end, all they really needed was one. Matt Bomer has been the odds on favorite for a long time now. He is a terrific actor (RIP Bryce Larkin) and any time you lose drastic amounts of weight and turn in a stellar performance, you are almost guaranteed an award. Right Matthew McConaughey??

Who should win: See above

 

Chuck’s Pick: Martin Freeman, Sherlock: His Last Vow
Trey’s Pick: Colin Hanks, Fargo
Josh’s Pick: Matt Bomer, The Normal Heart

About Evan Swafford

Evan Swafford

Evan is a semi reluctant insomniac, who has used his extra time to watch way more TV than is healthy for a normal human being. All his other time is devoted to movies, gaming, and being a sports fanatic and stat geek. Evan has a degree from MTSU in Electronic Media Journalism which he now uses to grow some of the best trees and shrubs money can buy. You can hear his useless knowledge every week on the Free For All podcast.

  • I’m sure I’ll come in last out of the four of us, but I chose with my heart…sue me.